Argument 高分范文对比1
Six months ago the region of Forestville increased the speed limit for vehicles traveling on the region's highways by ten miles per hour. Since that change took effect, the number of automobile accidents in that region has increased by 15 percent. But the speed limit in Elmsford, a region neighboring Forestville, remained unchanged, and automobile accidents declined slightly during the same six-month period. Therefore, if the citizens of Forestville want to reduce the number of automobile accidents on the region's highways, they should campaign to reduce Forestville's speed limit to what it was before the increase.
题目分析：
论据，结论分析：
作者的论据有：
1. Forestville increased the speed limit for vehicles by ten miles per hour
2. the number of automobile accidents in that region has increased by 15 percent
3. the speed limit in Elmsford remained unchanged, and automobile accidents declined slightly during the same six-month period
结论是：if the citizens of Forestville want to reduce the number of automobile accidents on the region's highways, they should campaign to reduce Forestville's speed limit to what it was before the increase
先分析论据，论证本身的问题（但这并不是ETS强调的入手点）
对论据２，可以质疑它的基数是否足够大，对于结论可以质疑要求市民进行campaign这样的活动是否可取．
现在再来看看最重要的the line of reasoning!
l 论据１，２之间作者建立了因果关系，特别注意开头的six month ago，那么我们就可以攻击它的时序性因果错误，找出他因，削弱论据１，２之间的因果联系．
l 论据３和论据１，２之间建立的是类比关系，不用多说，错误类比．
l 另外，研究作者由论据１，２，３推出结论的过程，即使１，２，３成立，那么是否还忽略了其他导致交通事故的原因？是否限速就一定能够减少交通事故？等等．
下面是范文分析：
6分：
The argument is well-presented, but not thoroughly well-reasoned. By making a comparison of the region of Forestville, the town with the higher speed limit and therefore (这里省略higher)automobile accidents, with the region of Elmsford, an area of a lower speed limit and subsequently fewer accidents, the argument for reducing Forestville's speed limits in order to decrease accidents seems logical.（用了seem实际上就是说not logical）(语言上，可以看出长短句的结合非常好，复述句是结构很好的长句，但是指明逻辑错误的句子短，醒目，并且就在文章开头，开门见山！使用make a comparison of sth. with sth.来提示这个类比的关系，同时therefore和subsequently指示出了因果关系)
开头简练，只用了６０个词，就复述了原文的重点并指出了其逻辑错误．最值得学习的地方是作者用一句话不但表达了原文论据间建立的因果关系，还表达了两个town之间的类比关系，合理的改写，而不是重抄原文．
However,（进行转折，合理衔接，下面进入了论述，这就是所谓的clear transition） the citizens of Forestville are failing to consider other possible alternatives to the increasing car accidents after the raise in speed limit. Such alternatives may include the fact that there are less (这个就是所谓的minor grammar error) reliable cars traveling the roads in Forestville,(车况的不同) or that the age bracket（年龄限制） of those in Elmsford may be more conducive to driving safely. （驾驶者本身的情况不同） It is possible that there are more younger, inexperienced, or more elderly, unsafe drivers in Forestville than there are in Elmsford. In addition, the citizens have failed to consider the geographical and physical terrain of the two different areas. （道路状况的不同） Perhaps Forestville's highway is in an area of more dangerous curves, sharp turns, or has many intersections or merging points where accidents are more likely to occur. It appears reasonable, therefore, for the citizens to focus on these trouble spots than to reduce the speed in the entire area. Elmsford may be an area of easier driving conditions where accidents are less likely to occur regardless of the speed limit.（首先上来攻击类比的问题，其实可以看出来，作者根本没有用什么高深的逻辑学知识，就是以交通事故为核心，找出两个城镇在交通状况，驾驶员年龄以及车况这三个方面的不同，从而攻击原文作者在这里进行的类比．我的收获是，不是必须用摸版在这里写，只要层次分明的详细描述这两个town的区别就可以，这样的语言写的比较具体，否则搬摸版上来，显得比较抽象和＂虚＂）
另外其实可以看出作者严密的逻辑思维，考虑到交通问题，作者正好从这三方面入手，交通问题涉及的驾驶者，车辆，道路（其实还有作者忽视的一方面，那就是交通管理部门）．
A six-month period is not a particularly long time frame for the citizens to determine that speed limit has influenced the number of automobile accidents in the area. （时间不够长也不能急于下结论，同时削弱两者的因果联系）（语言上，这里其实并没有过渡，也许这一点并不影响６分的得分吧．） It is mentioned in the argument that Elmsford accidents decreased during the time period. This may have been a time, such as during harsh weather conditions, （驾驶的天气情况）when less people were driving on the road and therefore the number of accidents decreased. However, Forestville citizens, perhaps coerced by employment or other requirements, were unable to avoid driving on the roads. Again, the demographics of the population are important. （人口数量问题，就是前面分析题目时提到的基数问题） It is possible that Elmsford citizens do not have to travel far from work or work from their home, or do not work at all. Are there more people in Forestville than there were six months ago? If so, there may be an increased number of accidents due to more automobiles on the road, (把人口增加和交通事故增多联系起来，削弱了速度限制和交通事故增加的因果关系)and not due to the increased speed limits. Also in reference to the activities of the population, it is possible that Forestville inhabitants were traveling during less safe times of the day, （驾驶时间）such as early in the morning, or during twilight. Work or family habits may have encouraged citizens to drive during this time when Elmsford residents may not have been forced to do so.（批驳忽略他因的错误，这里的批驳还建立在两者对比的基础上，也就是说作者的批驳是建立在原文作者的这个错误类比的基础上，因为他认为这个类比是一个核心的错误．这就是官方说明里指出的：identifying a central flaw in the argument and developing that critique extensively）
Overall, the reasoning behind decreasing Forestville's speed limit back to its original seems logical as presented above since the citizens are acting in their own best interests and want to protect their safety. However, before any final decisions are made about the reduction in speed limit, the citizens and officials of Forestville should evaluate all possible alternatives and causes for the increased number of accidents over the six-month period as compared to Elmsford.(结尾段改写开头段提出逻辑错误那句话，并且给出了作者的意见．即官方说明里说的：what change in the argument would make the reasoning more sound.)
全文共５１４词．
COMMENTARY
This outstanding essay begins by noting that the argument "seems logical." It then proceeds to discuss possible alternative explanations for the increase in car accidents and provides an impressively full analysis. Alternatives mentioned are that
-- the two regions might have drivers of different ages and experience;
-- Forestville's topography, geography, cars, and/or roads might
contribute to accidents;
-- six months might be an insufficient amount of time for determining
that the speed limit is linked to the accident rate;
-- demographics might play a role in auto accidents;
-- population and auto density should be considered; and
-- the times of day when drivers in the two regions travel might be relevant.
(从这里可以看出阅卷者更注意的是你给出的他因和alternative explanations.)
The points are cogently developed and are linked in such a way as to create a logically organized essay. Transitions together with interior connections create a smoothly integrated presentation. For the most part, the writer uses language correctly and well and provides excellent variety in syntax. The minor flaws (e.g., using "less" instead of "fewer") do not detract from the overall high quality of the critique. (这里我们也应该可以解读出什么是所谓的minor flaws)This is an impressive 6 paper.
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NO.2
…… …… 余下全文
