Public finance and public choice读书笔记----金炜

时间:2024.5.2

《Public finance and public choice》读书笔记

这本书是由马斯格雷夫和布坎南共同完成的,全书以论文---答复---讨论的结构来呈现,这样的结构可以使读者从不同角度全面,深刻的理解与国家有关的哲学思想以及财政学理论和政策有关的重要问题。

全书从财政联邦制,税制改革,税收竞争,道德问题等多个方面叙述与讲解,每一个方面讲的都很好,我对其中的对政治行动的约束这一块提一些自己的读后感。

作者在对这个方面进行说明时,巧妙的运用了一个例子,就是两个人对只有半瓶酒这样一个状态的看法,两个人的两个看法就如同两个作者对有无约束的集体做好事或者做坏事的看法。其中布坎南对此的看法就是政府在普通的政治活动中要进行约束。在早些时候,当不是按照闵准的方式组建政府,而是由君主或者贵族进行统治的年代,就存在着应该对政府的行为施加约束的一种普遍共识。由此可见,对政府的权利进行约束这种现象不是少例或者后来才出现的,它的出现不是偶然,而是历史的必然。实际上,现在的议会就是为了限制君主的权利而进行长期斗争的产物。

这个部分说的是限制政府的权力,那对限制这个词的理解又是怎样呢?在集体行动中,人们愿意对集体的可能行为预先设立限制,这个限制不是针对自己而是他人。也就是说个人可能愿意对集体的行动施加具体的限制,但如果是私人行动的角度,就不会有自我强加的限制法则。这个其实也是很容易理解的,人都是带有自私性的,在个人利益与具体利益间,大部分人都是选择自己,这是人之常情。对限制

的具体理解还要具体的针对发出行动的主体来理解,不然就会有失偏颇,不同的主体代表不同的利益,同时各自的主体又都希望各自的利益达到最大化,所以都会希望对其他主体的行为进行限制,很大程度上的对个人利益的侵害都是建立在主体的基础上的。

对政府的权力进行的限制,很大的程度上还是这些拥有权力的主体已经不再是一个个单个的个体,他们都已经变成一个个个体联合在一块的利益集团。说到这边,我们不难发现,布坎南通过一个例子以及图标来展现具体的利益关系,利益关系到了这么一个地步,已经不再是简简单单的利益单方面的关系,利益的涉及已经是千丝万缕的了。在利益集团中,任何一方都不会轻易伤害其他人的利益,这些都是不符合各自的利益出发点的。这么多的利益集团联系在一块,要想很好的平稳的分配这些利益,又要避免大的利益剧团发生侵吞的危险,那些小的利益剧团也会因此提出政治权利的限制,这样对于那些大的利益剧团而言,虽然会损失一些,但对于长远的发展而言,他们还是可以接受的,所以针对利益集团的权力限制,已经不仅仅是个人所希望的,同时也是利益集团内部大小团块相互妥协的产物。、

说到这边,我们不得不说一下我们天朝存在的一些现象。虽然我们是在名义和事实上都是社会主义国家,社会主义讲究的是大家平等,各方面都不会相差太多,更别提利益集团会在社会主义国家出现了,但事实上却是出现了,这不过这些利益集团的出现都是披上国家的外衣,堂而皇之的出现并且理所当然的享受国家给予的各项补贴。这些利益集团在过去很大程度上为国家做了很大的贡献,如就业方

面,税收方面等,但经历了改革开放30多年的洗礼,这些企业早已不是当初的企业,他们虽然如今依然披着国家的外衣,但他们却已经不再像过去那样为国家的发展提供各方面的支持了,他们现在有的只是钱。现在谈到这些企业,普通人都是表示羡慕,都以能进入其中工作为荣,为什么呢?在过去人们进入其中都是为国家的发展贡献自己的一份力量,而如今确实进入其中意味着高福利和高薪水以及各项好处,这些企业虽然规模很大,但有时候却不思进取,对于后来居上者,它也会运用国家权力对其进行打压,这已经是司空见惯了。对于这些企业所代表的利益,我们不去过分追究与探讨,但对于它们未来的发展我们却是不得不进行改革,改革改的不仅仅是企业里面的各项规章,同时也是这些企业所拥有的权力,只有对这些企业所代表的利益集团说不,让这些回归一个正常企业所应有的模样,才能真正让这些企业为国家的发展做贡献,为人民的利益做贡献,为社会主义的发展做贡献。

政权和政体的健康发展都必须有一个健康体制的支撑,而这个健康体制的存在很大程度上需要将体制内的各项权力进行明确限制,让其在各自的轨道上井然有序的行进。


第二篇:Auditor choice and the cost of debt capital for newly public firms


Auditorchoiceandthecostofdebtcapitalfornewlypublicfirms

Auditorchoiceandthecostofdebtcapitalfornewlypublicfirms

Auditorchoiceandthecostofdebtcapitalfornewlypublicfirms

Weappreciatehelpfulcommentsfrom,JoyBegley,MarkDeFond,ShaneDikolli,BillKinney,KenKlassen,CliveLennox,ThomasMatthews,GordRichardson,JayRitter,DanSimunic(thereferee),BillySoo,RossWatts(theeditor),andparticipantsatthe2003InternationalSymposiumonAuditResearch,the2003AAAAuditSectionMidyearConference,andthe2001CAAAAnnualConference.Finally,wegratefullyacknowledge?nancialsupportfromtheSocialSciencesandHumanitiesResearchCouncil.*Correspondingauthor.Tel.:+1-709-737-3100;fax:+1-709-737-7680.

E-mailaddresses:jpittman@mun.ca(J.A.Pittman),steve.fortin@mcgill.ca(S.Fortin).

0165-4101/$-seefrontmatterr2003ElsevierB.V.Allrightsreserved.

doi:10.1016/j.jacceco.2003.06.005$

114J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

1.Introduction

RajanandZingales(1998)reportevidenceofalifecycleinthepatternofcorporate?nancing,with?rmsmoredependentonexternal?nancingintheirearlyyears.However,marketfrictionssuchasasymmetricinformationthatcaninhibitthegrantingofcredittodeserving?rmsmaybemoresevereforyoung?rms(StiglitzandWeiss,1981).1Takentogether,thisresearchimpliesthattheinformationproblemsthatyoung?rmsexperiencecoincidewiththeyearsthattheymostdemandexternal?nancing.

Accordingly,?rms’earlypublicyearsprovideanopportunesettingforstudyingthein?uenceofauditorchoiceontheirinterestrates.WeexaminewhetherengagingaBigSixauditor,whichhasabrandnamereputationforsupplyingahigher-qualityauditthatenhancesthecredibilityof?nancialstatements,enablesyoung?rmstoreducetheirborrowingcosts.WepredictthattheimportanceofdebtmonitoringbyaBigSixauditorgraduallysubsideswith?rmage.Asinformationinthecapitalmarketsonyoung?rmsbecomesmoreavailable,thein?uenceon?rms’interestratesofrelyingonaBigSixauditortolowermonitoringcostsshoulddecreaseovertime.Speci?cally,weestimatethetime-seriesvariationintheimpactofauditorchoiceon?rms’interestratesintheir?rst9publicyears.Consistentwithourpredictions,wereporteconomicallysigni?cantandstatisticallyrobustevidencethathiringaBigSixauditorlowers?rms’costofdebtcapitallesswithage.Wealso?ndthat?rmswithshortprivatehistoriesbene?tmorefromchoosingaBigSixauditorintheirearlypublicyears,thoughthiseffectondebtpricingsubsidesrelativelyquicklyastheseyounger?rmsbecomebetterknowntolenders.Overall,ourresearchsuggeststhattheeconomicvalueofauditorreputationdeclineswithageasborrowersshifttowardexploitingtheirownreputationstoreduceinformationasymmetry.

Althoughpriorresearchextensivelyexaminestheroleofauditorchoiceonthecostofequitycapitalforyoungpublic?rms,thereisvirtuallynoevidenceonitseffectondebtpricingforthese?rms.2Thispapercontributestoourunderstandingofthisissuebyestimatingthein?uenceofauditorreputationonmoderatingcostlyinformationproblemsindebtmarkets.Inseparatetests,wemeasure?rmageasthenumberofyearssinceitsinitialpublicofferingandsinceitsincorporation.Thesetestsprovideevidenceonthejointimpactofauditorchoiceand?rms’(publicandprivate)experienceontheirinterestrates.

Therestofthispaperisorganizedasfollows.Section2furtherdevelopsthemotivationfortheempiricaltests,whileSection3describesthesampleformationprocess.Section4speci?esandreportsdescriptivestatisticsontheregressionInfact,empiricistsfrequentlyspecifyagetomeasuretheextentofexanteuncertaintyabout?rmvalue;e.g.,Beatty(1989)andRitter(1991).

2Thereisotherevidenceonthedebtpricingimplicationsofauditquality.McKinleyetal.’s(1985)surveyofbankloanof?cers’perceptionsofprivate?rms’creditapplicationsindicatesthatauditorreputationdoesnotaffectloanpricingdecisions.Wallace(1978)?ndsthatchoosingaBigEightauditorlowersinterestcostsformunicipalities.Byexaminingpublic?rms,ratherthanprivate?rms,welargelyavoidcomplicationsfromthepersonalreputationsand?nancialaffairsofownersnotbeingeconomicallydistinctfromtheir?rms.1

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136115variablesfortheteststhatestimatetheimpactofauditorreputationon?rms’interestrates.Section5presentstheestimationmethodologyandresultsforthedebtpricingtests.Finally,theconclusionsinSection6discussdirectionsforfutureresearch.

2.Extantresearchandhypothesesdevelopment

Inthisstudy,werelatetheinformationalasymmetrythatisprevalentin?rms’earlypublicyearstoauditorchoiceindebtmarkets.DeAngelo(1981)andDataretal.(1991)arguethatlarge,prestigiouspublicaccounting?rmsconcernedaboutprotectingtheirinvestmentinreputationcapitalhavemoreincentivethanotherauditorstosupplyahigh-qualityaudit.3Balversetal.(1988)andBeatty(1989)?ndthathigh-reputationauditorsenableentrepreneurstoreducetheextentofexanteuncertaintyinnewequityissues.4CopleyandDouthett(2002)reviewtheconsiderableliteratureonthelinkbetweenauditqualityandthecostofcapitalin?rms’initialpublicofferings.Incontrast,noempiricalstudiesexaminethedebtpricingimplicationsofauditorselectionbypublic?rms.

Priorresearchsuggeststhatinformationproblemssteadilysubsidewithageas?rms’accumulateahistoryinthecapitalmarkets.Forexample,Lang(1991)providestheoryandevidencethatthemagnitudeofstockpricereactionstoearningsannouncementsdiminishwithage,whichheattributestothegradualrevelationof?rm-speci?cinformationovertime.Similarly,Diamond(1989)arguesthatyoung?rmssuffermoresevereassetsubstitutionandmoralhazardproblems.Hemodelsthedynamicsofborrowers’incentiveswithlenderslearningovertimefromobserving?rms’creditrecords.

Dattaetal.(1999)reportevidenceconsistentwithDiamond’s(1989)predictionthat?rmslowertheirinterestratesbydevelopingtheirreputations.Lendersmaypreferthatyoung?rms,whicharejustformingtheirreputationsfordebtservicing,havehigher-qualityaudits.Thisimpliesthatthemarginalbene?tthatahigher-qualityauditprovidesthroughlowering?rms’borrowingcostswillbedecreasinginage.Essentially,auditorreputationsubstitutesforthe?edglingreputationsof?rmswithshortcredithistories.

Engagingahigh-reputationauditormaycontributetotheef?cientresolutionofcontractingproblemsbyproducingvaluableinformationaboutborrowers(seeJensenandMeckling,1976;WattsandZimmerman,1986).SincethereisonlyPriorevidencethatBigSix?rmsreceivebrandnamepricepremiaincompetitivemarketsalsoimpliesthatqualitydifferentiationexists;e.g.,Craswelletal.(1995).Craswelletal.explainthatalthoughallpublicaccounting?rmsmustcomplywithminimumprofessionalstandards,theBigSix?rmsvoluntarilyinvestinhigherlevelsofexpertiseandhaveincentivestoprovidehigher-qualityauditstoprotecttheirreputations.

4Aseparateresearchstreamexamineswhetherauditorselectionprovidesanexantesignalofinsurancecoveragetoinvestorsinequityinitialpublicofferings;e.g.,MenonandWilliams(1994).Inadditiontoresearchonnewshareissues,otherstudiesarguethatthelargerpublicaccounting?rmsarebrandnamesuppliersofhigher-qualityaudits;e.g.,TeohandWong(1993)andBeckeretal.(1998).3

116J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

limitedinformationavailableonyoung?rms,lendersdependlargelyon?rms’disclosurestoevaluatetheirperformanceandfutureprospects.Lenderswouldhavetoconductcostlyinformationproductionandmonitoringusingalternativesourcesintheabsenceofcredible?nancialstatementsfortheserelativelysmall,obscure?rms.Thiscredibility,whichaBigSixauditorcanenhanceby,forexample,improvingtheprecisionin?rms’earningsreports(DeAngelo,1981;Balversetal.,1988),lowersthemonitoringcostsofdebtholders.

ExtantresearchsuggeststhatBigSixauditorsprovidesuperiormonitoring,especiallyfor?rmssufferingfromsevereinformationproblems.Francisetal.(1999)?ndthat?rmswithotherwiserelativelyhighuncertaintyaboutreportedearningsareinducedtohireaBigSixauditortobolsterthecredibilityoftheir?nancialstatements.Theyreportevidencethatthisexternalmonitoringconstrainsaggressiveandpotentiallyopportunisticreportingofaccruals-basedearnings.Inaddition,Beckeretal.(1998)documentthat?rmswithBigSixauditorshavelowerdiscretionaryaccruals,whichtheyargueisindicativeofhigh-qualityauditorspermitting?rmslessaccounting?exibility.TeohandWong(1993)reportthatclientsofBigSixauditorshavehigherearningsresponsecoef?cients.

Overall,thisevidenceimpliesthatthehigherqualityofBigSixauditsreducesearningsmanagement,whichisimportantsincedebtcontractsengenderincentivestoadjustearningsthroughaccountingchanges(Sweeney,1994)anddiscretionaryaccruals(DeFondandJiambalvo,1994)toavoidaccounting-basedcovenantviolations.Further,Teohetal.(1998)?ndthatearningsmanagementpriortoinitialequityissuesaffectsaccrualsin?rms’earlypublicyears.Thereductioninuncertaintyaboutthequalityof?rms’earningswouldjustifylendersconsideringauditorchoicewhenpricingdebtcontracts.Sinceuncertaintyinthecapitalmarketsabout?rms’earningsisdecreasingintheirage(Lang,1991),young?rmsmayparticularlybene?tfromchoosingaBigSixauditor.Intheabsenceofsuchmonitoring,lenderswillpriceprotectagainstexcessiveearningsmanagementbyrequiring?rmsnotretainingaBigSixauditortopayhigherinterestrates.

Iflendersgraduallyrelymoreon?rmreputationandlessonauditorchoicewhendetermininginterestrates,thenthein?uenceofselectingaBigSixauditorshouldbemoredetectableinasampleofyoung?rmsthathaveonlyshorttrackrecords.Thisstudybeginsbyexamining?rmsovertheir?rst9publicyearstoestimatetheevolutionintheimpactofauditorreputationonborrowingcosts.Weexpectthatthehigh-qualitymonitoringofaBigSixauditorwillenableyoung?rmstobettermoderateinformationproblemsintheirearlypublicyears,whichleadstothefollowinghypothesis(statedinalternateform):

H1:Thein?uenceofauditorreputationonlowering?rms’interestrateswill

subsidewithage.

Ourinitialtestsdeliberatelyignorethat?rmstypicallyhaveprivateoperatingexperiencewhentheygopublic.FirmsthatalreadyhavelengthycredithistoriesattheirIPOdatesmaynotbeabletofurthermateriallyreduceinformationasymmetrybyhiringaBigSixauditor.These?rmscandependontheirowngoodreputations

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136117withlenderstolowertheirinterestrates,therebylargelyeliminatingthedebt-monitoringbene?tofhavingahigh-qualityaudit.Infact,Ritter(1991)?ndsthatstockperformanceimprovesthelongerthedurationbetweenincorporationandinitialpublicoffering,whichwouldvalidatelendersperceivingcreditrisktobehigherfor?rmswithlessprivateexperience.5Incomparisonto?rmswithlongerprivatehistories,lenderslearnmoreaboutyounger?rmsintheirearlypublicyears.Althoughauditorchoicewillaffectyounger?rms’borrowingcostsmore,itsimpactwilldissipatemorequicklyovertimeastheybecomebetterknown.Thisargumentmotivatesthefollowinghypotheses(alsostatedinalternateform):

H2A:Thein?uenceofauditorreputationonloweringinterestrateswillbestronger

in?rmswithshortprivatehistories.

H2B:Thein?uenceofauditorreputationonloweringinterestrateswillsubsidemore

quicklywithagein?rmswithshortprivatehistories.

3.Sampleselection

Thesampleweusetoexaminethedeterminantsofdebtpricingformaturing?rmsisextractedfromthosethatwentpublicfrom1977to1988.Alistofthe3458SEC-registeredinitialpublicofferingsconductedbetweenJanuary1,1977andDecember31,1988wasobtainedfromSecurityDataCorporation.WecomparethislisttotheAnnualIndustrialandResearchCompustat?lestoidentifytheIPOsforwhichanydataisavailable.Table1reportsthatthisscreeningreducesthesampleto2180?rms.Weexcludesomeindustriesfromthesamplebecausetheircapitalmarketdecisionsarefundamentallydifferentfromthoseofother?rmsduetoregulationandthe?nancialnatureoftheiroperations(seediscussioninPittmanandKlassen,2001).Wedeleteutilities(SICcodesfrom4911to4941)since?rmsinregulatedindustriesmighthaveincentivestohaverelativelyhighleverage.6Utilities’stablecash?owsmayincreasetheirdebtcapacity,whiledelegatingdiscretionoverinvestmentpolicytoregulatoryauthoritiesmayreducetheirassetsubstitutionandunder-investmentproblems.

Inaddition,weremove?rmsin?nancial(SICcodesfrom6022to6200),insurance(SICcodesfrom6312to6400)andrealestate(SICcodesfrom6500to6799)industries.Explicit(orimplicit)investorinsuranceschemessuchasdepositinsurancemaystronglyin?uencethecreditdecisionsof?rmssuchasbanksandinsurancecompanies.Infact,theirdebt-likeliabilitiesarenotstrictlycomparabletothedebtissuedbynon-?nancial?rms.Further,regulationssuchasminimumcapitalrequirementsmayaffecttheircapitalstructures.Theindustryscreeningeliminates249?rmsfromthesample.

Otherempirical(e.g.,LjungqvistandWilhelm,2003)andanalytical(e.g.,ChemmanurandFulghieri,1999)researchsuggeststhatthereismoreuncertaintyabout?rmsgoingpublicearlierintheirlives.6Otherindustrieswereregulatedatdifferentpointsduringthe1977–1997periodofthisstudy.Allofourresultswerevirtuallyidenticalwhen?rmsoperatingintherailroad(SIC4011),trucking(SIC4213),airline(SIC4512),andtelecommunications(SIC4812and4813)industrieswereremovedfromthesample.5

Table1

Sampleselectionsummary

Calendaryear197719781979198019811982198319841985198619871988TotalNumberofSECregisteredIPOs323862xxxxxxxxxxxx573557284151673458Numberof?rmsnotfollowedbyCompustatsince(11)(20)(22)(67)(125)(40)(246)(129)(131)(290)(150)(47)(1278)initialpublicoffering

Numberof?rmsfromutilities,?nancial,insurance,(2)(3)(4)(11)(26)(7)(51)(24)(29)(53)(27)(12)(249)andreal-estateindustries

Numberof?rmsthatdidnotsurvivethroughtheir(14)(2)(13)(33)(99)(47)(210)(123)(110)(195)(123)(65)(1034)?rst9yearsofpublicoperation

Numberof?rmswithmissingCompustat(2)(2)(4)(8)(16)(6)(36)(21)(22)(49)(29)(9)(204)observations

Numberof?rmswithextremeobservations(3)(8)(9)(14)(42)(13)(72)(25)(30)(51)(41)(14)(322)Numberof?rmsinthesample031016409703533904520371118J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics

37

(2004)

113–136

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

119

Thisstudyinitiallyfollows?rmsfortheir?rst9publicyears,whichresultsinremovingthosethatweredelistedfromtheCompustatdatabasebecauseofmergers,acquisitions,bankruptcy,orliquidationduringthisperiod.Restrictingthesampletothe?rmsthatsurvivefor9consecutiveyearsensuresthatanyevidencesupportingourpredictionsisnotdrivenbychangestothecompositionofthesampleovertime.

Wealsoremove?rmsifanyoftheobservationsnecessarytoconstructtheregressionvariablesaremissing,whichlowersthesampleto693?rms.Finally,discardingextremeobservationsinthedata,whichweexplaininSection4,reducesthe?nalsampleto371?rms(seeTable1forasummary).Asimposingthesescreeningcriteriaresultsinattritionof89percentoftheoriginalsample,the?nalsamplemaydiffersystematicallyfromthepopulationofsurvivors.Althoughinspectionofthedatasuggeststhattheindustry(Table2)andcalendaryearclusteringinthesampleresemblestheclusteringintheinitialpopulation,wemoreformallyconsidertheeconometricimplicationsof?rmattritiononthesampleselectionprocessinSection5.

Table2

IndustrydistributionofsampleTwo-digitSICcode13202728353637383942484950565859738087

Number9127172944631691171087122179

Industrydescription

OilandgasextractionFood

PrintingandpublishingChemicals

IndustrialandcommercialmachineryElectronicandelectricalequipmentTransportationequipment

Measuring,analyzing,andcontrollingequipment

MiscellaneousmanufacturingindustriesFreighttransportationandwarehousingCommunications

Electric,gas,andsanitaryservicesWholesaletrade—durablegoodsApparelandaccessorystoresRestaurants

MiscellaneousretailBusinessservicesHealthservices

Engineering,accounting,researchmanagement,andrelatedservices

Percentage2.43.21.94.67.811.81.68.41.62.43.01.92.72.21.93.25.71.92.4

Sub-total

262109371

Industrieswithfewerthansix?rms

70.629.4100

Total

120J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

4.Regressionvariablesanddescriptivestatistics

Thissectiondescribesthedependentandexplanatoryvariablesthatareusedintheempiricaltestsofthehypotheses.Weemphasizethespeci?cationofthethreevariablesofprimaryinterestinthisstudy,?rms’interestrates,ages,andauditorchoices.Wealsomotivateandspecifythecontrolvariablesthatrepresentotherpotentialdeterminantsofdebtpricing;i.e.,theunderlyingcostofcapitaland?rm-speci?ccharacteristics.Thissectionconcludeswithdescriptivestatisticsforthesevariables.

4.1.Interestrate

Thedependentvariableistheinterestrateonthe?rm’sdebt,whichiscalculatedasitsinterestexpensefortheyeardividedbyitsaverageshort-andlong-termdebtduringtheyear.However,descriptivestatisticsindicatethatthisvariableisanoisyproxyforthe?rm’sinterestrateunlesswetrimthedatatoaddressextremeobservations.

Ifa?rm-yearobservationisoutsidethe5thor95thpercentilesofthepooleddistribution,thenwediscardthe?rmunlesswecanreplacetheseextremeobservationswithinterestratescalculatedusingquarterlydata.7Droppingobservationsisoftenappliedtohandlenoiseresultingfromaccountingratioshavingverysmalldenominators(Dechow,1994).Thisrestricts?rms’interestratestorangetoamaximumof20.7percent,whichisabout180basispointshigherthanthehighestprimerateinthe1977–1997studyperiod(Table3).Thesamplecontains?rmswithnodebtoutstandingduringtheyearthathave0percentinterestrates.8Althoughtrimmingexplanatoryvariablesdoesnotaffecttheexpectedvalueoftheregressionslopes,excessivetrimmingcanin?atetheirstandarderrors.Thetrimmingprocedurethatweapplygeneratesstandarderrorsthataresmallerthanfortheregressioncontainingallobservationsorforthosethatusealternatetrimmingmethods.9

Forthequarterlydata,wecomputeyearlyinterestratesastheannualizedaverageofthefourquarterlyinterestrates.Whileitmayhavebeenpreferabletoestimatealldatapointsusingquarterlydata,thequarterlyCompustattapecoversfewer?rmsthanitsannualtape,particularlyintheearlysampleyears.AllresultsonhypothesesH1,H2A,andH2Barerobusttousingstrictlyannualorstrictlyquarterlydata.8AllevidenceonH1,H2A,andH2Bremainsafterexcluding?rmswith0percentinterestratesandafterrunningtobitregressionstoaddresspotentialcensorshipbiasarisingfromtreatinginterestrateasacontinuousvariable.

9WeexaminethepossibilitythatthetrimmingprocedurechosenspuriouslyinducestheevidenceonthehypothesesbyapplyingthefollowingalternateproceduresforhandlingextremeobservationsanddatacodingerrorsmadebyCompustat.Inseparatetests,wediscardobservationsoutsidethe1stand99thpercentilesandwinsorizeatthe5thand95thandatthe1stand99thpercentiles.Inaddition,anotherspeci?cationconstrainsthe?rms’interestratestorangefromthemeanprimerateforthatyearandtheprimerateplus0.075;i.e.,observationsbelowprimearesettoprimeandthoseaboveprimeplus0.075aresettoprimeplus0.075.Wealsore-specifytoconstraintheirinterestratestorangefromprimetoprimeplus0.05andprimetoprimeplus0.10.Allresultsreportedareessentiallyunaffectedbyanyofthesere-speci?cations.7

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136121

4.2.Firmage

ThetheoryofreputationformationindebtmarketsbyDiamond(1989)predictsthatinterestrateswilldeclineovertimeas?rmscompilegoodcredithistories.Wemeasure?rmageasthenumberofyearssincetheywentpublicwhentestingH1.ForH2AandH2B,weexaminewhethercross-sectionaldifferencesin?rms’privateages,whichisthenumberofyearsbetweentheirincorporationandinitialpublicoffering,affectthein?uenceofauditorchoiceon?rms’borrowingcostsintheir?rst9publicyears.

4.3.Auditorchoice

Oursamplehasobservationsthatcovertheperiod1977–1997duringwhichmergersinvolvingthelargepublicaccounting?rmsoccurred.Forthe1989–1997portionofoursampleperiod,wefollowpreviousresearchbyspecifyingauditorchoicewithavariableindicatingwhetherthe?rmretainsaBigSixauditor;e.g.,Francisetal.(1999).Forthe1977–1988portionofoursampleperiod,thisindicatorvariableidenti?espublicaccounting?rmsthatwereamongtheBigEight;e.g.,Beatty(1989).10

4.4.Underlyingcostofcapital

Welargelyrelyontheaverageprimeratefortheyeartocontrolforchangesintheunderlyingcostofcapital.Therisk-freerateandadefaultpremiumforthelender’sbestcustomerscomprisetheprimerate.Firmsthatarenotamongthelender’sbestcustomersincuranadditionaldefaultpremium.TheannualdifferencebetweentheyieldonBAA-ratedcorporatebondsandtheyieldon10-yeargovernmentbondscontrolsforaggregatevariationinthisdefaultpremium(PetersenandRajan,1994).

4.5.Firmcharacteristics

Thefollowingvariablescontrolforvariationindebtpricingattributableto?rm-speci?ccharacteristicsotherthanitsreputationandauditorchoice.Thesecontrolsproxyforcreditrisk,withobservablyriskierborrowerspredictedtopayhigherinterestrates.

Wepredictaninverserelationbetweeninterestratesand?rmsize,whichismeasuredwiththenaturallogarithmofoneplustotalassets,sincecreditorsperceivelarger?rmsaslessriskyandthereareeconomiesofscaleindebtproductioncosts(Careyetal.,1993).Thelogarithmicspeci?cationthatprovidesfortheexpecteddecreasingmarginalimpactofsizefollowsextantresearch;e.g.,Blackwelletal.(1998).

Forexpositionalconvenience,wealwaysuse‘‘BigSix’’todescribethelargepublicaccounting?rms,despitethatthesearereally‘‘BigEight’’?rmsbeforethe1989mergersthatresultedintheformationofDeloitte&ToucheandErnst&Young.10

Table3

Summarystatistics

Panel(A)Continuousvariables

VariableNMeanStd.dev.MedianMinMax

Interestrate33390.0930.0400.09600.207

Age333952.582519

Primerate33390.0910.0210.0880.0600.189

Defaultpremium33390.0200.0030.0200.0130.031

Leverage33390.2740.2390.22100.992

Cash?ow33390.0640.1650.085à4.5351.898

Size33393.6051.4203.4770.32310.954

Assetstructure33390.5610.8780.466029.017

Panel(B)Discretevariables

VariableNPercent

BigSixauditor298289.31

Negativebook912.73

equityindicator

Panel(C)Correlations

VariableInterestrateAgePrimerateDefaultLeverageCash?owSizeAssetBigSixNegative

premiumstructureauditorequity

Interestrateà0.1810.3110.0510.210à0.0870.0290.065à0.0530.089

(0.001)(0.001)(0.003)(0.001)(0.001)(0.094)(0.001)(0.002)(0.001)

Ageà0.145à0.415à0.4360.070à0.0500.1120.1540.0690.068

(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.004)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)122J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

Primerate0.262à0.476à0.2030.0120.010à0.097à0.048à0.044à0.025

(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.481)(0.544)(0.001)(0.005)(0.012)(0.153)

Def.premium0.084à0.4100.094à0.077à0.009à0.126à0.044à0.041à0.041

(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.598)(0.001)(0.011)(0.018)(0.018)

Leverage0.2250.081à0.019à0.094à0.3600.2260.2430.0060.180

(0.001)(0.001)(0.265)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.709)(0.001)

Cash?owà0.047à0.039à0.0080.000à0.1490.1190.1630.025à0.173

(0.007)(0.024)(0.642)(0.982)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.142)(0.001)

Size0.0800.107à0.117à0.01350.2240.1600.0780.1880.036

(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.036)

Assetstructure0.0550.099à0.048à0.0210.0800.218à0.0440.0310.040

(0.001)(0.001)(0.006)(0.220)(0.001)(0.001)(0.011)(0.074)(0.020)

BigSixauditorà0.0550.069à0.062à0.0530.0180.0150.1810.0230.034

(0.001)(0.001)(0.001)(0.002)(0.300)(0.396)(0.001)(0.189)(0.049)

Neg.bookequity0.0760.068à0.040à0.0420.221à0.2630.0470.0050.034

(0.001)(0.001)(0.021)(0.016)(0.001)(0.001)(0.007)(0.765)(0.049)

Notes:Thistablepresentssummarystatisticsforthe3339?rm-yearobservationsovertheperiod1977–1997usedinthehypothesestestsonthefullbalancedpanel.(A)presentsthedistributionalstatisticsforthecontinuousvariablesand(B)presentsthedistributionforthediscretevariables.Tables1and2,respectively,providedescriptivestatisticsonthecalendaryearandindustrydistributions.(C)reportscorrelationsfortheregressionvariables,withPearsoncorrelationspresentedbelowthediagonalandSpearmancorrelationspresentedabovethediagonal;relatedprobabilityvaluesarepresentedinparentheses.Continuousvariablesareasfollows(alldollar-denominatedvariablesarestatedinmillions).Interestrateisinterestexpensedividedbytheaverageshort-andlong-termdebtfortheyear.Firmageisthenumberofyearsthathaveelapsedsincethe?rm’sinitialpublicoffering.Primerateistheaverageprimeratefortheyear.ThedefaultpremiumisthedifferencebetweentheyieldonBAA-ratedcorporatebondsandtheyieldon10-yeargovernmentbondsfortheyear.Leverageisthebookvalueofthesumofshort-andlong-termde?atedby?rmmarketvalue(thesumofmarketvalueofequityandbookvalueoftotaldebt).Cash?owiscash?owfromoperationsscaledbytotalassets.Firmsizeisthenaturallogarithmofoneplustotalassets.Assetstructureistotalproperty,plantandequipmentscaledbytotalassets.

Indicatorvariablesareasfollows.Theyeardummyvariablesindicatethecalendaryearinwhichthe?rmunderwentitsinitialpublicoffering.Theindustrydummyidenti?esthe?rm’sone-digitSICcode.TheBigSixauditorvariableindicatesifthe?rmretainsaBigSix(BigEightbefore1989)auditor.Thenegativebookequitydummyindicatesifthebookvalueofcommonequityisnegative.J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

123

124J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

Wealsopredictthatinterestrateswillbeincreasinginleverage,whichisde?nedastotalshort-andlong-termdebtscaledby?rmmarketvalue(PetersenandRajan,1994).Thecontrolforpro?tabilityiscash?owfromoperations(PetersenandRajan,1994),whichispredictedtohaveanegativecoef?cientsince?rmsthatcangeneratemorecashinternallyareinabetterpositiontoservicetheirdebts.Wespecifyadummyvariabletoidentifywhenthebookvalueofcommonequityisnegativetore?ectthat?rmsexperiencing?nancialdistressmayincurhigherborrowingcosts(Grahametal.,1998).

Priorevidencesuggeststhatinterestratesareincreasingincollateral(Johnetal.,2003,amongothers),whichisconsistentwiththeperceptioninthebankingindustrythatriskierborrowersmustprovidesecurityfortheirloans(Morsman,1986).Thisimpliesthatthecoef?cientonthecontrolforassetstructure,whichisthefractionoftotalassetsinproperty,plant,andequipment,willbepositive.

Weincludeanindicatorforissueyeartocapturelingeringvariationincreditrisk.11Table1reportsdramaticcyclicalswingsinthenumberofIPOsconductedbetween1977and1988.Thereisconsiderabledebateabouttheaveragequalityof?rmsgoingpublicinhotandcoldmarketsfornewissues(LoughranandRitter,1995).Finally,werelyonone-digitSICcodestocontrolforindustryin?uencesondebtpricing(Stoughtonetal.,2001).12

Table3reportsdescriptivestatisticsthatindicatethatthereissubstantialvariationacrossallcontinuousvariables.Thereisevidencethatsomecontrolvariables,especiallytheprimerate,defaultpremium,andsizeproxies,arecorrelatedwiththeBigSixindicatoror?rmage.Thisraisestheconcernthatotherdeterminantsofdebtpricingmightexplaintheobservedseparateandjointin?uencesof?rms’auditorchoiceandage.Toaddresspotentialmulti-collinearityissues,weremovefromtheequationsoneatatimeexplanatoryvariableswithabsolutecross-correlationswithauditorchoiceor?rmageexceeding0.15.Noneofthesere-speci?cationsqualitativelyaffecttheregressionresultspresentedbelow.Laterinthispaper,wefurtherexplorepotentialconfoundingfrom?rmsize.

5.Estimationmethodologyandresults

WebeginthissectionbydevelopingourresearchdesignforexaminingthepredictioninH1thatthedebt-monitoringbene?tthataBigSixauditorprovidesthroughlowering?rms’interestratesgraduallysubsideswithage.FortheempiricaltestsofthepredictionsinH2AandH2Bthattheimpactofauditorchoiceondebtpricingwillbestronger,butwilldissipatemorequicklyovertime,in?rmswithshortOurresearchdesignpartiallysuppressesthein?uenceofchangingmacroeconomicconditionsondebtpricingbyaligningthedataineventtimestartingwiththe?rms’?rstpublicyear,ratherthanincalendartime.Thisshouldreduceconfoundingadmittedbyshiftsinprevailingconditionsotherthanchangesintheprimerateanddefaultpremium,forwhichwespecifyseparatecontrols.

12Althoughthisrequiresspecifying50industrydummies,re-runningthetestsusingthemoreconventionaltwo-digitSICcodedummiesdoesnotqualitativelyaffecttheresultsreportedinthispaper.11

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136125privatehistories,wesimplydividethesampleusedtotestH1accordingto?rms’medianprivateagewhentheywentpublic.

5.1.PrimarytestsofH1:Firms’publicexperience

Weinitiallyestimatethefollowingmodeltoexaminetheevolutionintheimpactofauditorchoiceon?rms’borrowingcosts:

INTERESTRATEit?atbXitteit;e1TwhereINTERESTRATEitistheinterestrateincurredby?rmiattimet,aistheinterceptthatiscommontoall?rms,Xitisavectorofexplanatoryvariables,andeitistheerrorterm.Theregressionvariables,whichSection4describesinmoredetail,are:

INTERESTRATEitInterestrateisinterestexpensedividedbytheaverageoftotal

short-andlong-termdebtduringtheyear.

AGEitAgeisthenumberofyearsthathaveelapsedsincethe?rm’s

IPO.

BIGSIXitThisindicatorvariablehasavalueofonewhenthe?rm

retainsaBigSixauditor;zerootherwise.?AGEitBIGSIXitThisinteractionistheproductofageandtheBigSixauditor

indicatorvariable.

PRIMEtPrimeistheaverageprimeratefortheyear.DEFAULTtThedefaultspreadisthedifferencebetweentheyieldon

BAA-ratedcorporatebondsandtheyieldon10-year

governmentbondsfortheyear.

LEVERAGEitLeverageisthebookvalueoftotalshort-andlong-termdebt

de?atedby?rmmarketvalue(sumofthemarketvalueof

equityandthebookvalueoftotaldebt).

CASH-FLOWitCash?owiscash?owfromoperationsscaledbytotalassets.SIZEitFirmsizeisthenaturallogarithmofoneplustotalassets.ASSETSitAssetstructureistotalproperty,plantandequipmentscaled

bytotalassets.

NEG.EQUITYitThenegativebookequitydummyindicatesifthebookvalue

ofequityisnegative.

YEARiThisisthecalendaryearinwhichthe?rmhaditsinitial

publicoffering.

INDUSTRYiThisindicatesthe?rm’sone-digitSICcode.

WestartbyestimatingthismodelusingordinaryleastsquaresundertheassumptionthattheerrorterminEq.(1)isindependentoftheexplanatoryvariables.Thisgeneratesresultsthataredirectlycomparabletopriorresearchonthedeterminantsof?rms’interestrates.Thistestalsoprovidesthe?rstcross-sectionalevidenceonwhetherauditorchoiceaffectsdebtpricing.However,thepaneldatatests,whichcontrolforunobserved?rm-speci?ceffectstoavoidomittedvariable

126J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

biasandtore?netheobservationofwithin-?rmdynamics,thatfollowareourprimaryevidenceonH1andH2B.

Thesigni?canceofthepooledOLSresultsreportedincolumn(1)ofTable4arecalculatedwithstandarderrorsobtainedusingWhite’s(1980)heteroscedasticitycorrection.Thenegativeandstatisticallysigni?cantcoef?cientontheagevariablesupportsDiamond’s(1989)theorythat?rms’interestrateswilldeclineovertime.

Morerelevanttothisstudy,thenegativeandstatisticallysigni?cantcoef?cientontheBigSixauditorvariableimpliesthatrelyingonahigh-qualityauditorreduces?rms’interestrates,onaverage,by143basispoints.13Toourknowledge,thisisthe?rstestimateofthedebtpricingimplicationsofauditorselectionbypublic?rms.Inthisregression,weevaluatethetime-seriesvariationinthein?uenceofauditorreputationonborrowingcostsbyinteracting?rmagewiththeBigSixauditorindicator.Thepositiveandstronglystatisticallysigni?cantcoef?cientonthisinteractionisconsistentwiththepredictioninH1thatretainingaBigSixauditoraffects?rms’interestrateslesswithage.

Exceptfortheestimatesfor?rmsizeandthedefaultpremium,thepooledOLSresultsforthecontrolvariablesarestatisticallysigni?cantinthepredicteddirections.14Infact,theresultsreportedincolumn(1)ofTable4aresimilartothoseprovidedbypriorcross-sectionalstudies;e.g.,PetersenandRajan(1994)andBlackwelletal.(1998).

However,theseresults,particularlytheevidencesupportingH1,maybedrivenbyomittedvariablebiaswiththeexplanatoryvariablesrepresentingunobservable?rm-speci?ceffects.Weaddresstheconcernthat?rm-speci?ccorrelatedomittedvariablesarepresentinthedatabyspecifyinganinterceptforeach?rm,ai:Thiseliminatesthetime-invariantportionoftheerrorterminEq.(1),therebyyieldingconsistentcoef?cientestimates:

INTERESTRATEit?aitbXitteit:e2TTheresultsreportedincolumn(2)ofTable4areforatwo-way?xedeffectsmodelwithcorrectionforunspeci?edheteroscedasticity.AnF-teststronglyrejectsthenullhypothesisthattheconstantterms(the?xed?rmeffects)areallidentical.Inthepresenceofthe?rmeffects,anotherF-testsupportsincludingtime-speci?cparameterscorrespondingtotheprimerateandthedefaultpremiumfortheyear.

Thoughstillstatisticallysigni?cantatthe1percentlevel,thiscoef?cientestimatedropstoà0.0058whentheinteractionbetweenauditorchoiceand?rmageisremovedfromthiscross-sectionalregression.14AlthoughthepaneldatateststhatfollowprovideourmainempiricalevidenceonH1,thestatisticalsigni?canceofthesecross-sectionalresultsmaybeexaggeratedbytheserialcorrelationoftheerrorterms.However,theevidence(p-valueunder0.01)thatthein?uenceofauditorqualityoninterestratesisdecreasingin?rmageremainswhenthepooledequation(1)isre-estimatedusingGeneralizedMethodofMoments(seeHansen,1982),whichproducesstandarderrorsthatarenotaffectedbyserialcorrelationofsuccessiveobservationsandcross-sectionalheteroscedasticity.Inaddition,exceptfortheproxyforcash?owfromoperations,theothervariablescontinuetobesigni?cantinthepredicteddirections.13

Table4

Debtpricingresults—OLSand?xedeffectsestimation

OLSregression:INTERESTRATEit=a+b1AGEit+b2BIGSIXit+b3AGE?BIGSIXit+b4PRIMEt+b5DEFAULTt+b6LEVERAGEit+b

+bINDUSTRY7CASH-

FLOWit+b8SIZEit9ASSETSit+b10NEG.EQUITYit+fi+dYEARi+eit

Fixedeffectsregression:INTERESTRATEit=ai+b

SIZE1AGEit+b

e2BIGSIXit+b3AGE?BIGSIXit+b4PRIMEt+b5DEFAULTt+b6LEVERAGEit+b7CASH-

FLOWit+b8it+b9ASSETSit+b10NEG.EQUITYit+it

VariablePredictionBalancedpanelsUnbalancedpanels

FullSize-truncatedSize-matchedFullRestricted

PooledOLSFixedeffectsPooledOLSFixedeffectsPooledOLSFixedeffectsPooledOLSFixedeffectsPooledOLSFixedeffects

12345678910

Intercept?0.0703???0.1023???0.0677???0.1001???0.1045???0.0634???0.1073???Ageàà0.0031???à0.0024???à0.0031???à0.0024???0.0606???0.0858???0.0336???

à0.0032???à0.0032???à0.0017???à0.0022???à0.0022???à0.0025???

BigSixauditoràà0.0143???à0.0014à0.0143???à0.0007à0.0116??à0.0023à0.0102???à0.0017à0.0095???à0.0037Age?BigSixauditor+0.0019???0.0016???0.0018??0.0016??0.0023??0.0019??0.0007?0.0009??0.0008?0.0012???Primerate+0.3297???0.3338???0.3326???0.3373???0.3454???0.3454???0.4035???

Defaultpremium+0.17400.05130.17920.04830.22590.11360.5964???0.2726???0.3654???0.3147???

à0.15570.4849???0.0227

Leverage+0.0326???0.0101???0.0371???0.0120???0.0260???0.0118?0.0460???0.0193???0.0210???0.0088???Cash?owàà0.0069??à0.0046à0.0080??à0.0040à0.00370.00090.0002à0.0003à0.0025?à0.0012Sizeà0.0031???à0.0019?0.0036???à0.00150.0026???0.0062???0.0022???0.00030.0012???à0.0026???Assetstructure+0.0038???0.00060.0039???0.00070.0134???0.0140??0.0034???0.0013?0.0018???0.0004Negativebookequity+0.0102???0.0089??0.0011??0.0092??0.0210???0.0134??0.0083???0.0034?0.0096???0.0058??AdjustedR20.1580.5530.1690.5540.2100.5280.1320.5590.0970.492F-statistic27.17??106.69??27.85??103.46??10.86??92.22??49.48??63.95??27.98??84.61??Numberofobservations3339333931xxxxxxxxxxxx87633763360386038

Notes:Thistablepresentsregressionresultsforthedebtpricingmodelsusingpooledcross-sectional,time-seriesordinaryleastsquares(OLS)andtwo-way?xedeffectsestimationforthe?rms’?rstthroughninthyearsofpublicoperation.Thefullbalancedsampleiscompiledbydiscardingtheentiretime-seriesof?rmsifanymissingobservationsareencounteredinthe9years.Thesize-truncatedsub-sampleconsistsofall?rmsfromthefullbalancedpanelwithtotalassetsrangingfrom$0.6million(theminimumtotalassetsinthesetof?rmsusingaBigSixauditor)and$291.9million(themaximumtotalassetsinthesetof?rmsusinganon-BigSixauditor).Thesize-matchedbalancedsub-sampleconsistsof56?rmsusingaBigSixauditorand56?rmsusinganon-BigSixauditorthatwerematchedascloselyaspossibleontotalassets(themaximumpermissibledifferenceintotalassetswas10percent).Thefullunbalancedpaneliscompiledbydiscardingonlythe?rmyearwhenmissingobservationsareencountered.Therestrictedunbalancedpanelallows?rmstoleaveanytimeduringtheir?rst9publicyears,butnotreturnlatertothesample.Thedependentvariableandtheexplanatoryvariablesarespeci?edinTable3.TheOLSregressionsincludeunreporteddummyvariablesidentifyingthe?rm’sone-digitSICcodeandthecalendaryearofitsinitialpublicoffering.RegressionequationF-statisticssigni?cantatlessthan0.001areidenti?edbya??superscript.Inthistable,thesubscriptsiandtidentify?rmsandtime,respectively.Thesuperscriptasterisksindicateexplanatoryvariablecoef?cientsigni?canceatp-valueslessthan0.10(?),0.05(??),and0.01(???)inone-tailedtestswheredirectionalpredictionsaremadeandtwo-tailedtestsotherwise.J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136127

128J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

The?xedeffectsresults,whichpreservethetime-seriesvariationwhileaccountingforindividual?rmheterogeneity,alsoprovideevidenceconsistentwithourpredictionsabouttheevolutionin?rms’interestratesandtheimpactofauditorchoiceduringtheir?rst9publicyears.Speci?cally,Diamond’s(1989)theorythat?rms’debt?nancingcostsaredecreasingin?rmageisstronglysupported.Similarly,consistentwithH1,thepositiveandstronglystatisticallysigni?cantinteractionbetween?rmageandtheBigSixauditorindicatorimpliesthatthein?uenceofauditorchoiceon?rms’interestratesgraduallysubsidesovertime.15

Infact,calibratingthistime-seriesevidencesuggeststhatborrowerandauditorreputationsareeconomicallyimportantdeterminantsofdebtpricing.Thecoef?cientestimateofà0.0024on?rmageimpliesthat,onaverage,?rms’interestratesdecreaseby216basispointsduringtheir?rst9publicyears.Thecoef?cientestimateof0.0016ontheage-BigSixauditorinteractionimpliesthat,onaverage,thebene?tofexternalmonitoringbyahigh-qualityauditordropsby144basispointsduringtheseyears.Tohelpputtheseestimatesinperspective,Table3reportsthat?rms’mean(median)interestrateoverthese9yearsis9.3percent(9.6percent).

Collectively,thesewithin-?rmresultsprovideevidenceonhow?rmandauditorreputationsaffectthedebtpricingprocessovertime.Young?rmscanlowertheirinterestratesbyacquiringatrackrecordforrepayingtheirdebts.However,intheirveryearlypublicyearswhen?rmsonlyhaveshortcredithistoriesforlenderstoobserve,these?rmsmostbene?tfromrelyingonthesuperiordebtmonitoringofaBigSixauditortomoderateinformationproblems.Insummary,theevidencereportedincolumns(1)and(2)ofTable4suggeststhat?rmageandauditorchoiceseparatelyandjointlyaffectyoungpublic?rms’borrowingcosts.

5.2.PrimarytestsofH2aandH2b:Firms’privateexperience

OurresearchdesignfortestingH1intheprevioussectionmeasuresa?rm’sageasthenumberofyearsthathaveelapsedsinceitsIPO,although?rmsordinarilyhaveaprivateoperatinghistorywhentheygopublic.Itwouldbeinterestingtoexaminethedeterminantsofdebtpricingfortheprivateoperatingyearsof?rmsinoursample.However,sincewedonothaveaccesstotheir?nancialstatementsfortheseyears,weresorttocoarselytestingthepredictionsinH2AandH2Bthatthein?uenceofauditorreputationoninterestrateswillbestronger,andwilldiminishmorequicklyovertime,in?rmswithshortprivatehistories.

Thecoef?cientsonmanyexplanatoryvariables,includingtheBigSixauditorindicator,tendtoapproachzeroorareestimatedimpreciselyinthe?xedeffectsregression.However,thetheoriesmotivatingthesepotentialdeterminantsofdebtpricingintendtoexplaindifferencesacross?rms.Enteringthe?rm?xedeffectsthatremovecross-sectionalvariationinthedatameansthatthesehypothesesmaynolongerbetestable.OnlytheOLSresultsthatarereportedincolumn(1)ofTable4arevalidforthesecross-sectionalpredictions.15

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136129Thisinvolvesre-examiningtheevidencereportedinTable4afterbisectingthesampleby?rms’medianprivateage,de?nedasthenumberofyearsbetweentheirincorporationandtheirIPOs.16Priorresearchsorts?rmsbysuchwithin-samplecharacteristics;e.g.,RajanandZingales(1998)andPittmanandKlassen(2001).

Table5presentsevidencefortheolderandyounger?rmsub-samplesthatsuggeststhatthedeterminantsofdebtpricingin?rms’earlypublicyearsdependontheirprivateages.First,theimpactofpublicexperienceonthetime-seriesvariationintheirrespectiveinterestratessupportsDiamond’s(1989)theoryofreputationformation.Inthe?xedeffectsresultsincolumns(2)and(4),thecoef?cientestimateon?rmageisonlynegativeandstatisticallysigni?cantfortheyounger?rms.Thisimpliesthatlenderscontinuetolearnaboutthissetofborrowersbyobservingtheircredithistoriesduringtheirearlypublicyears.Incontrast,itappearsthattheolder?rmshavelargelycementedtheirreputationsduringtheirprivateyears.Theseresultscontributetoextensivepriorresearchthatsuggeststhatinformationasymmetryisworsefor?rmsgoingpublicearlierintheirlives;e.g.,ChemmanurandFulghieri,1999;LjungqvistandWilhelm,2003.

Second,theevidenceinTable5isconsistentwithH2A.ThepooledOLSresultsincolumns(1)and(3)indicatethatchoosingaBigSixauditorlowerstheinterestratesoftheyounger?rmsmorethantheolder?rms.Inbothregressions,thecoef?cientestimateonauditorchoiceisnegativeandsigni?cantlydifferentfromzero.17However,anF-testrevealsthatthiscoef?cientissigni?cantlygreaterforthesub-sampleofyounger?rms.Theyounger?rms,whicharelesserknowntolenders,canreducetheirinterestratesmoreintheirearlypublicyearsbyrelyingontheirauditors’reputationsaswellastheirown.

Finally,consistentwithH2B,thedecliningimportanceovertimeofauditorchoiceisstrongerinthesub-sampleofyounger?rms.18Infact,accordingtotheresultsWecollecteddataon?rms’incorporationdatesfromWard’sBusinessDirectoryofU.S.PrivateandPublicCompanies,Moody’sInternationalManual,Moody’sIndustrialManual,Moody’sOTCIndustrialManual,DirectoryofCorporateAf?liations,andawebsitemaintainedbyProfessorJayRitteroftheUniversityofFlorida.Themedianprivateageis10years,measuredfromyearofincorporationtoyearofinitialpublicoffering.Thedistributionishighlyskewed;e.g.,some?rmswerefoundedmorethan100yearsbeforegoingpublic,suchthatmeanprivateageisanunreliableestimateofcentraltendencyinthissample.Wediscardobservationsfor39?rmsforwhichwecouldnotdetermineincorporationdates.17InpooledOLStestswithoutthe?rmage-BigSixauditorinteraction,theauditorchoicevariableisonlysigni?cantforthesub-sampleofyounger?rms.

18AlthoughseparateHausman(1978)testscon?rmthatthe?xedeffectsmodelistheproperdesignchoiceforexaminingH1andH2B,externalvalidityisunderminedbecausetheresultsonlyapplytothe?rmsinthesesamples,whichonlycontainabout11percentofthepopulationofinitialequityissuesoccurringbetween1977and1988(seeTable1).Therearealmostcertainlymechanicalexplanationsforsomesampleattritionsuchas?rmsnotbeingimmediatelyfollowedbyCompustat;i.e.,oursampleselectionprocessinadvertentlyexcludes?rmsthatbelonginthesampleofthosesurvivingfor9publicyears.Sinceweareeagertoprovideevidencetojustifyinferencesabouttheentirepopulation,were-estimatetheequationswitharandomeffectsmodeland?ndevidencestronglysupportingthehypotheses.Further,GrilichesandHausman(1986)explainthatobservingconsistentestimatesacrossalternativepaneldataestimationtechniquessuggeststheabsenceofseriouserrorsinvariablesproblems.16

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J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

Table5

DebtpricingOLSand?xedeffectsregressionresults—balancedpanelpartitionedbyprivateageatIPOdate

OLSregression

INTERESTRATEit=a+b1AGEit+b2BIGSIXit+b3AGE?BIGSIXit+b4PRIMEt+b5DEFAULTt+b6LEVERAGEit+b7CASH-FLOWit+b8SIZEit+b9ASSETSit+b10NEG.EQUITYit+fINDUSTRYi+dYEARi+eit

Fixedeffectsregression

INTERESTRATEit=ai+b1AGEit+b2BIGSIXit+b3AGE?BIGSIXit+b4PRIMEt+b5DEFAULTt+b6LEVERAGEit+b7CASH-FLOWit+b8SIZEit+b9ASSETSit+b10NEG.EQUITYit+eitVariable

Prediction

Older?rmsPooledOLS

InterceptAge

BigSixauditor

Age?BigSixauditorPrimerate

DefaultpremiumLeverageCash?owSize

Assetstructure

NegativebookequityAdjustedR2F-statistic

Numberofobservations

?àà++++àà++

1

0.0819???à0.0024??à0.0081?0.00110.3304???à0.25970.0203???à0.0139??0.0024???0.0070???0.0079?0.13710.30??1413

Fixedeffects2

0.1042???à0.00110.0086?0.00020.3420???à0.28740.00460.0018à0.0036?0.00560.00600.488115.48??1413

Younger?rmsPooledOLS3

0.0644???à0.0047???à0.0202???0.0033???0.3235???0.40210.0423???à0.00460.0036???0.0030???0.0107??0.18415.81??1575

Fixedeffects4

0.0921???à0.0035???à0.00190.0026???0.3342???0.28490.0105??à0.0056à0.00160.00040.0155???0.57789.80??1575

Notes:Thistablepresentsregressionresultsforthedebtpricingmodelsforolderandyounger?rmsusingordinaryleastsquaresandtwo-way?xedeffectsestimationforthe?rms’?rstthroughninthyearsofpublicoperation.Thebalancedsamplediscardstheentiretime-seriesof?rmsifanymissingobservationsareencounteredinthe9years.Older?rmsarede?nedasthoseforwhichthedurationoftheirprivatehistory,whichismeasuredasthenumberofyearsthathaveelapsedbetweentheirincorporationandtheirinitialpublicoffering,isabovethemedianforthesample.Younger?rmsarede?nedasthosewithprivatehistoriesthatareshorterthanthemedianforthesample.Thedependentvariableandtheexplanatoryvariablesarespeci?edinTable3.TheOLSregressionsincludeinitialpublicofferingyearandone-digitSICcodeindustrydummyvariables;coef?cientestimatesforthesearenotreported.RegressionequationF-testssigni?cantatlessthan0.001areidenti?edbya??superscript.Inthistable,thesubscriptsiandtidentify?rmsandtime,respectively.Thesuperscriptasterisksindicateexplanatoryvariablecoef?cientsigni?canceatp-valueslessthan0.10(?),0.05(??),and0.01(???)inone-tailedtestswheredirectionalpredictionsaremadeandtwo-tailedtestsotherwise.

reportedincolumns(2)and(4)ofTable5,thecoef?cientontheage-BigSixauditorinteractionisonlypositiveandstatisticallysigni?cantforthissetof?rms;thecorrespondingcoef?cientforthesub-sampleofolder?rmsisnotstatisticallydifferentthanzero.AnF-testindicatesthatthecoef?cientontheinteractionissigni?cantlygreaterforthesub-sampleofyounger?rms.Together,theevidencein

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136131thissectionsuggeststhattheseparateandcombinedimpactofborrowerandauditorreputationsoninterestratesisstrongerin?rmswithshortprivatehistorieswhentheygopublic.

5.3.Sensitivityanalysis

ThissectionexaminesthesensitivityofthereportedempiricalresultsthatareconsistentwithH1,H2A,andH2Bbyexploringwhetherthisevidencepersistsforaseriesofvariableandsamplere-speci?cationsandalternateestimationtechniques.

5.3.1.Firmsize

Extantresearchsuggeststhatlarger?rmstendtochooseBigSixauditors(Francisetal.,1999)andpaylowerinterestrates(PetersenandRajan,1994).Sincethisimpliesthatourmainevidencecouldbedrivenby?rmsize,wefollowBlackwelletal.’s(1998)methodologyforhandlingthispotentialconfounding.19

Weinitiallyre-estimatetheequationsonasize-truncatedsub-samplethatincludesall?rmswithtotalassetsrangingfrom$0.6million(theminimumtotalassetsof?rmswithBigSixauditors)and$291.9million(themaximumtotalassetsof?rmswithnon-BigSixauditors).Thissampleisintendedtoprovideevidenceonwhetherextremelysmallorlarge?rmsareresponsibleforourmainresults.20However,similartoBlackwelletal.(1998),descriptivestatisticsindicatethat,withinthissub-sample,theclientsofBigSixauditorsarestillsigni?cantlylargerthantheclientsofnon-BigSixauditors.

Consequently,were-estimatetheregressionsonasize-matchedsub-sample.Thisinvolvesmatchingeach?rmusinganon-BigSixauditorintheir?rstyeartothe?rmusingaBigSixauditorthatisclosestontotalassets.21Wealsorequirethantheabsolutevalueofthedifferenceintotalassetsbetweeneachpairislessthan10percenttoavoidpoormatches.Asmatchingonacontinuousvariablemeansthatwehavetoacceptimperfectmatches,wecontinuetoincludetheproxyfor?rmsizeintheseregressions.At-testrevealsthatthe56?rmsusingBigSixauditorsandthe56?rmsusingnon-BigSixauditorsinthissub-samplearestatisticallyindistinguishableonsize.Similarly,aWilcoxonsigned-ranktestthatmakeslessstrongdistributionalassumptionsalsoindicatesnodiscernabledifferencein?rmsize.

WethankanDanSimunicforinsightfullyidentifyingthisissueandsuggestingthetestsinthissection.Otherstudiesonauditqualityandthecostofcapitalmatch?rmsonsize;e.g.,Felthametal.(1991).20Wealsore-runthemaintestsafterbisectingeachbalancedandunbalancedpanelfromTables4and5accordingtomedian?rmsizeand?ndthatevidenceconsistentwithourpredictionspersistsforbothhalvesofthesedistributions,implyingthattheBigSixauditorvariabledoesnotjustproxyfor?rmsize.21Additionaltestsindicatethatmatchingusingthelast(ninth)publicyearratherthanthe?rstpublicyeardoesnotqualitativelymattertoanyoftheresultsreportedinthissection.Sinceidentifyingonlysinglematchesdecimatesthesample;i.e.,wekeeponly112oftheoriginal371?rms,wecompileanothersamplethatcontainsupto?vesuitable(totalassetswithin10percent)?rmswithBigSixauditorsmatchedtothe?rmswithnon-BigSixauditors(Klassenetal.,2003).Thisincreasesthesampleto231?rms.EstimationusingweightedleastsquaresforthesemultiplematchesalsoprovidessimilarevidenceonH1,H2A,andH2B.19

132J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

Table4reportsregressionresultsincolumns(3)–(6)forthesesize-truncatedandsize-matchedsub-samples.Theseresultsaresimilartothosereportedincolumns(1)and(2)forthefullsample,implyingthattheevidencesupportingH1isnotanartifactof?rmsize.Inparticular,themagnitudeandstatisticalsigni?canceoftheOLSand?xedeffectscoef?cientestimatesfor?rmage,theBigSixauditorindicator,andtheinteractionofageandtheBigSixauditorindicatorareconsistentacrossallthreesamples.

WeprovideevidenceonH2AandH2BinTable5aftersplittingthefullsampleintoyoungerandolder?rmsaccordingtotheirprivateages.Results(nottabulated)fromre-estimatingtheseregressionsonsize-truncatedandsize-matchedsub-samplesoftheseyoungerandolder?rmsremainconsistentwiththesepredictions.

5.3.2.Sampleattrition

Wecompilethebalancedpaneldatabyremoving?rmsthatbecamebankrupt,wereliquidated,wereacquired,ormergedwithanother?rmduringtheir?rst9publicyears.Imposingthesescreenspreventsbiasfromthecompositionofthesamplechangingovertime.However,thereareatleasttworeasonstoexaminecertainunbalancedpanels—permitting?rmstoleaveand,inonespeci?cation,re-enterthesampleduringthe9years—whentestingthepredictions.

First,considerableattritionforreasonsotherthannon-survivaloccurredwhenthepanelwasconstructedbydiscardingobservationsthatdonotappearinallyears(seeTable1).Forexample,a?rm’sentire9-yeartime-seriesislostifevenasingleinterestrateobservationwasconsideredextremebecauseitwasoutsidethe5thor95thpercentiles.Boththefullandsplit-sampletestswereseparatelyre-estimatedforanunbalancedpanelinwhich?rmswerepermittedtoenterandleavethesampleduringthe9-yearperiod.Inthesesamples,welosefewerthan10percentofthe?rm-yearobservationsbyreplacing,ifpossible,extremevalueswithinterestratescalculatedfromquarterlydata.TheseresultsprovideevidenceconsistentwithH1(seecolumns

(7)and(8)ofTable4)aswellasH2AandH2B(nottabulated),implyingthatthescreeningusedtocompilethebalancedpaneldatadoesnotseriouslyundermineexternalvalidity.22

Second,severalcorporate?nancetheoriesarguethatchangestosamplecompositionaffectsdebtpricing.Forexample,onemechanisminDiamond(1989)thatgeneratesapatternofdiminishinginterestratesovertimeishavingyoung?rmsthatdefaultontheirdebtsleavethecreditmarket.Thebalancedpanelpartiallysuppressestheimpactofthismechanismontheevolutioninthedeterminantsof?rms’interestrates.Priorresearchimpliesthatlendersre?netheirinformationabout?rmsthatsurvivebyobservingthosethatdefault.Accordingly,were-runtheThisevidenceforH1,H2A,andH2Bremainsaftermoreformallytreatingthispotentialsampleselectionbias.WeapplyHeckman’s(1979)two-stepestimationprocedurethatgeneratesconsistentestimatesinthepresenceofattritionbyeliminatingthebiasthatcouldarisefromomittedvariableswhenthesampleisnotrandom.The?xedeffectsregressionthatmodelswithin-?rmvariationindebtpricingremovesanytime-invariantsampleselectionbiassincethecorrectiontermforselectivityisabsorbedinthe?rm-speci?ceffect.Weexaminepotentialattritionbiasbecause?rmsmaybeexcludedfromthesampleforreasonsbesidesnon-survival.22

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136133hypothesestestsonunbalancedpanelscomprisedof?rmsthatwereallowedtoleave,butnotlaterreturnto,thesampleundertheassumptionthatborrowersthatdefaultareforeverexcludedfromthecreditmarket.Theseresultsprovideevidenceatthe1-percentlevelconsistentwithH1(seecolumns(9)and(10)ofTable4)andH2AandH2B(nottabulated).

5.3.3.Year-to-yeartests

Weemploythefollowingmethodologytoprovideyear-to-yearevidenceonthepredictioninH1thathiringaBigSixauditoraffectsdebtpricinglessovertime(Lang,1991;PittmanandKlassen,2001).Afterremovingtheage-BigSixauditorinteraction,were-estimateEq.(1)inseparatecross-sectionalregressionsforeachofthe?rms’?rst9publicyearswitharandomcoef?cientsmodelthatattributesparameterheterogeneitytostochasticvariation.Thisestimationtechnique,whichhasbeenmodi?edtocorrectforheteroscedasticityandavoidsserialcorrelationcomplications,permitscross-sectionalvariationintheauditorchoicecoef?cients.

Plottingtheseninecoef?cientsrevealsanalmostmonotonicallydecliningtrendinthein?uenceofauditorchoiceon?rms’interestratesovertime.ConsistentwithH1,thePearsoncorrelationoftheninecoef?cientswith?rmageis0.79,whichissigni?cantatthe1-percentlevelinaone-tailedtestassumingindependence.However,sincethiscorrelationignorestheprecisionofthecoef?cientestimates,werunaweightedlinearregressionwiththeleastweightassignedtotheobservationsthataremeasuredwiththemosterror.Theweightedleastsquaresregressionoftheauditorchoiceestimatesfromtheninecross-sectionalrandomcoef?cientsmodelson?rmagealsoproducesevidenceatthe1-percentlevelthatapositivepatternexists.

Similarly,applyingthisproceduretotheyoungerandolder?rmsub-samplesprovidestime-seriesevidenceatthe1-percentlevelsupportingthepredictioninH2Bthatthesubsidingin?uenceofauditorreputationoninterestrateswithagewillbestrongerin?rmswithshortprivatehistories.

5.3.4.Interestratespeci?cation

ThedependentvariableforthetestsreportedinTables4and5isinterestexpensefortheyeardividedbyaverageshort-andlong-termdebtduringtheyear.Replacingthisdenominatorwithlong-termdebtorthesumofshort-,long-term,andconvertibledebtproducesqualitativelysimilarevidenceonthehypotheses.23

5.3.5.Publicagespeci?cation

Sincetheimpactondebtpricingofanadditionalyearofpublicexistencemaydeclineovertime,wespecifyvariousnon-lineartransformationsof?rmage(theStein(1992)andothersarguethatconvertibledebtprovidescost-effective?nancingwheninformationalasymmetriesarerelativelyseveresuchasfortheyoung,small?rmsinoursample.Specifyingonlylong-termdebtinthedenominatoravoidsconfoundingfromseasonal?uctuationsin?rms’short-termdebt.23

134J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136

naturallogarithmofoneplusage,second-orderlogs,squareroots,andreciprocals)toprovidethedatamore?exibility.Evidencesupportingourpredictionsisfoundforeachspeci?cation.Further,R2wasslightlyhigherinboththefull(Table4)andsplit(Table5)sampleswiththelinearspeci?cationof?rmage,validatingourdesignchoice.

5.3.6.Othertests

TheevidencethattheimpactofauditorchoiceondebtpricingisconsistentwithH1,H2A,andH2Bremainsafterremoving?rmsthatchangedtheir?scalyear-endstosynchronizethetestsat1-yearintervals.Thereportedresultsarealsonotcalendaryear,industry,orBigSixauditorspeci?candrepresentapervasiveeconomictrend,ratherthanin?uentialobservationsdominatingthedata.Inaddition,serialcorrelationthroughrepeatedmeasurementsofa?rmisnotresponsiblefortheevidence.24

6.Conclusions

Weexaminethelinkbetweenauditorchoiceanddebtpricingfornewlypublic?rms.These?rmsparticularlydependonobtainingexternal?nancingdespiteexperiencingseriousinformationproblemsintheirearlypublicyears.Ourcross-sectionalevidencesuggeststhatchoosingaBigSixauditor,whichcanreducedebt-monitoringcostsbyenhancingthecredibilityof?nancialstatements,enablesyoung?rmstolowertheirinterestrates.

Extanttheoryandevidenceimpliesthatinformationasymmetrybetweenborrowersandlendersisdecreasingin?rmagesince,forexample,young?rmshavenothadtheopportunitytoaccumulatealengthycreditrecord.Consistentwithourtime-seriespredictions,we?ndthattheimpactofauditorchoiceon?rms’interestratesdiminisheswithage.Ourevidencesuggeststhattheeconomicvalueofauditorreputationtothecostofcreditdeclinesovertimeasborrowersgraduallyshifttowardrelyingontheirownreputationstomoderateinformationasymmetry.Informationproblemsareevenworsefor?rmsthathaveshortprivatehistorieswhentheygopublicaccordingtopriorresearch.Wereportresultsfromadditionalteststhatimplythatprivateageaffectstheimportanceofauditorchoiceto?rms’borrowingcosts.Speci?cally,againconsistentwithourpredictions,we?ndthatalthoughyounger?rmsattheirIPOdatesespeciallybene?tfromretainingaBigSixauditor,thisstrongerin?uencesubsidesmoreswiftlyovertheir?rst9publicyearsastheybecomebetterknown.

Thisresearchcouldbeextendedbyexaminingthepredictionsinothersettingssuchas?rmsemergingfrombankruptcyprotection.Thesenewlyre-organized?rms,whicharejustbeginningtheprocessofrehabilitatingtheirreputationswithlenders,maybeeagertoexploitthesuperiordebtmonitoringofaBigSixauditor.ThismayAlthoughastatisticallysigni?cantAR(1)parameterindicatesthatserialcorrelationisimportant,thet-statisticsforthetestvariablesaresimilarwhenrobustestimatesofthestandarderrorsareused.24

J.A.Pittman,S.Fortin/JournalofAccountingandEconomics37(2004)113–136135beacleanertestinggroundthanthenewlypublic?rmssincebankrupt?rmscanselectabrandnewcapitalstructurebeforeleavingChapter11(AldersonandBetker,1995).Incomparison,evidenceinthisstudysuggeststhatthedurationof?rms’pre-IPOhistoriesaffectsinterestratesintheirpost-IPOyears.Finally,StiglitzandWeiss(1981),amongothers,arguethatinformationproblemsareresponsiblefortheseverecreditrationingthat?rms’encounterintheirearlyyears.Empiricalresearchonwhetherretainingahigh-qualityauditorreducescreditrationinginyoung?rmswouldcomplementourevidenceondebtpricing.

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